Read e-book online Modelling the Survival of Financial and Industrial PDF

By Dimitris N. Chorafas (auth.)

ISBN-10: 0230501737

ISBN-13: 9780230501737

ISBN-10: 1349430846

ISBN-13: 9781349430840

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Additional resources for Modelling the Survival of Financial and Industrial Enterprises: Advantages, Challenges and Problems with the Internal Ratings-based (IRB) Method

Example text

This constrain them because the principal work of the analyst if not intuition: • the analyst’s opinion must be rational and documented; and • its validity is proportional to the competence of the person, the accuracy of the model, and data quality. A reliable metaphor reflects the methodology we use. Allowances should be made for uncertainties; otherwise the outcome might be a misleading rationalisation of a prejudiced position. The findings of the study should never be hidden by a mass of charts, incomprehensive calculations and abstract technical terms.

In the 19th century invention was referred to as an art, and Edison’s own road from sketch to concrete object was marked by a higher order (metalevel) imagination. Compensating for progressive hearing loss since childhood, he was a consummately visual thinker and fine draftsman. Concepts came swiftly, surely and unrelentingly, as he put them on paper to help his own understanding. Edison’s notebooks indicate a multifaced sensitivity to ideas, people, and things. Viewed in their encyclopaedic context, his laboratory notebooks vividly present the formative roots of modern R&D, all in the brain of one person.

This job requires that on a factual and documented basis others are informed: managers and professionals, who are the decision-makers. Analysts who are worth their salt are always dubious about statements that the market has reached a bottom, things will take care of themselves, a downturn will turn around on its own accord, an upturn will last forever, or that somewhat better management will solve the problem. Serious analysts don’t look only at numbers but they also look at faces. They sit up, look directly in the eyes of the person they are interviewing, use soft language, but are absolutely clear about what they are after.

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Modelling the Survival of Financial and Industrial Enterprises: Advantages, Challenges and Problems with the Internal Ratings-based (IRB) Method by Dimitris N. Chorafas (auth.)


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